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EOB 2024-2025
IMPACT INDICATOR
Under-5 mortality rate

SHAA2030 Target 1.3

Reduce the neonatal mortality rate to less than 9 per 1,000 live births in all population groups, including those most at risk (indigenous, Afro-descendent, Roma, and rural population, among others, as applicable in each country), and under-5 mortality to less than 14 per 1,000 live births 

Baseline
2017
14.45 deaths per 1000 live births*
Target
2025
11.8 deaths per 1000 live births
Status
2024
12.64 deaths per 1,000 live births
Rating
Right track
% annual change required to achieve target
-2.00%
% annual change recorded as of last year available
-1.91%

* Since the last assessment in 2024, updated information became available that required a change in the baseline.

The under-5 mortality rate is a universal indicator for measuring child survival. It reflects both the performance of health systems and the social, economic, and environmental conditions in which populations, particularly children, live. In the Region, a substantial share of under-5 mortality is currently attributable to neonatal disorders (around 40%), congenital anomalies (around 12%), and sepsis, infectious diseases, and lower respiratory infections (around 19%). 

The under-5 mortality rate in the Americas has declined markedly, halving between 2000 and 2022 from 26.09 to 13.11 deaths per 1000 live births. Assuming a linear decline in both live births and mortality rates, this reduction would represent approximately 2.1 million lives saved over the period. Although the Region is projected to have fallen short of its target of 11.75 deaths per 1000 live births by 2025, the indicator remains on the right track, having achieved 81% (12.26 per 1000 live births) of the required reduction from the baseline of 14.4 in 2017. The downward trend continued even during the COVID-19 pandemic and, if the current pace is maintained, the target could be achieved by the end of 2026, one year later than originally planned. 

Considering that neonatal disorders are the main contributor to under-5 mortality and that the neonatal mortality target was achieved, prospects for further progress in reducing under-5 mortality remain favorable. However, the pace of reduction of the post-neonatal mortality was considerably slower than that observed for neonatal mortality between 2017 and 2024, declining by an average of 1.22% per year compared with 2.2%, respectively. Under-5 mortality rates remain disproportionately high in several countries in the Region, with substantial cross-country variation, ranging from 4.65 to 52.75 deaths per 1000 live births in 2024. Social determinants play a significant role in under-5 mortality, underscoring the urgent need to address disparities across socioeconomic groups. 

Recommendations
  1. Deliver evidence-informed strategies tailored to each country’s unique context and based on analysis of the main causes of under-5 mortality to further reduce mortality and associated gaps. 

  2. Strengthen and update national policies, plans, and legislation, including measures to strengthen health system and health service responses in child health. 

  3. Expand vaccination access and coverage against Streptococcus pneumoniae, ensure the availability of safe antibiotics, and implement effective case management protocols for neonatal pneumonia. 

  4. In countries with high under-5 mortality, ensure access to oral rehydration salts and zinc for at least 90% of the population, which can reduce mortality associated with diarrheal diseases. 

  5. Improve health information systems to improve the completeness, quality, timeliness, and disaggregation of under-5 mortality data, thereby enabling more targeted interventions.