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EOB 2024-2025
IMPACT INDICATOR
Incidence rate of measles

SHAA2030 Target 10.4

Combat waterborne diseases and other communicable diseases 

Baseline
2018
16.68 cases per 1 million population
Target
2025
0.0 cases per 1 million population
Status
2024
0.45 cases per 1 million population
Rating
Wrong track
% annual change recorded as of last year available
-60.21%

* Since the last assessment in 2024, updated information became available that required a change in the baseline.

The reestablishment of measles transmission in recent years poses challenges to maintaining the Region’s elimination goals. These developments underscore the urgent need to restore and sustain high immunization coverage through routine immunization and follow-up vaccination campaigns, strengthen outbreak preparedness, and maintain sensitive surveillance systems. In this regard, restoring and sustaining immunization coverage following pandemic‑related disruptions was a major outcome of the 2024–2025 biennium. 

During the period 2020–2025, measles incidence declined sharply following the 2019 epidemic peak of 22.9 cases per million population, falling to 8.5 cases per million in 2020 and reaching an all-time low in 2023, when only 73 cases were reported. In the immediate post‑pandemic period, relatively few confirmed measles cases were reported (fewer than 150), likely reflecting reduced population mobility and border closures that significantly affected international travel. Measles reemerged in 2024 and 2025, however, indicating renewed vulnerability to outbreaks and challenges in mounting rapid outbreak responses. 

This trend reflects the gradual recovery of routine first- and second-dose measles vaccination coverage following the COVID-19 pandemic, compounded by persistently suboptimal coverage with two-doses of measles- and rubella (MR/MMR)-containing vaccines (below 95%), accumulated immunity gaps, and vaccine hesitancy in close-knit communities. In addition, surveillance gaps, delayed outbreak detection, and misalignment between vaccine supply and epidemiological risk have hindered response efforts. As a result, the Region of the Americas can no longer be considered measles‑free. This indicator is considered to be on the wrong track

Timely detection, notification, investigation and rapid response for every suspected case remain critical to sustaining elimination achievements. Sustained laboratory capacity is also essential for timely case confirmation and viral genotyping. 

Recommendations 
  1. Expand the delivery of vaccination services through primary health care and stimulate demand through strong risk communication, social mobilization, and community engagement strategies. 

  2. Increase two‑dose vaccination coverage to reach 95% or higher, using microplanning as the core methodology to strengthen routine immunization and targeted vaccination activities. 

  3. Document outbreak closure in accordance with the criteria established in PAHO’s Regional Measles and Rubella Elimination Reverification Framework. 

  4. Ensure robust laboratory surveillance through the allocation of adequate financial and human resources. 

  5. Maintain adequate stocks of measles‑ and rubella‑containing vaccines, including additional MR/MMR doses for prioritized populations and outbreak response activities, leveraging the Regional Revolving Funds to increase access.